Crisis? What crisis?

Interesting to see an article by Scott Ambler in Dr Dobbs where he purports to ‘debunk’ the software crisis by criticising the use of the figures from the Standish Group’s Chaos Report.

In the article Scott says his own research counters the findings of the Chaos Report and that many projects succeed, according to the participant. I can’t but feel however he’s missed the issue of self-justification as outlined in the book “Mistakes were made (but not by me)” by social psychologists Carol Tavris and Elliot Aronson. In their book they point out that human beings justify and rationalise their own failings even in the face of concrete evidence. This might be why Scott’s respondents report such a high project success rate.